CI Volatility Tools
Every tool in the CI Volatility suite
Long Vol Signal

A systematic signal engine that detects favorable conditions for long volatility entries by analyzing VIX price action, RSI dynamics, momentum oscillators, volatility expansion, and put/call sentiment in real time. When all conditions align, a signal fires on the chart and appears in the Vol Radar.

The engine runs two independent signal tiers. The Alpha signal requires 14 simultaneous conditions to be met — covering VIX level, RSI crossovers, WaveTrend momentum, volatility expansion ratios, SPX weakness, and PCVI put/call thresholds. The Beta signal uses a lighter 5-condition filter focused on PCVI trend, IV percentile momentum, and VIX level to catch broader setups.

The chart displays SPX price history with signal markers overlaid at every historical detection point, giving you a visual record of exactly when each signal fired and how the market moved afterward. A collapsible conditions dashboard shows which of the underlying conditions are currently met or unmet.

When either signal fires, it automatically surfaces as an alert in the Vol Radar on the main dashboard and is included in the daily email sent to all members — so you never miss an entry window even if you're not watching the tool directly.

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Vol Radar

Real-time anomaly detection engine that continuously scans the full price history of every tracked ticker and surfaces statistically significant signals — unusual ATL gaps, overdue spikes, spike level hits, pullbacks, decay acceleration, VIX structure shifts, and more.

Each alert includes the historical data behind it, so you can immediately see why a signal fired and how similar situations resolved in the past. The engine checks every ticker on every page load, comparing current conditions against the full statistical distribution of that ticker's history.

Signals are grouped by type and severity. Some are structural (term structure inversions, unusual contango compression), some are price-based (ATL gap percentiles, spike level breakthroughs), and some are temporal (overdue spike alerts based on historical frequency). New signal types are added as the engine evolves.

Vol Radar lives on the member dashboard, giving you an at-a-glance view of everything unusual happening across the volatility landscape before you drill into any individual ticker.

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Custom-Built Charts

Every leveraged and inverse ETF gets its own dedicated tracker page with a live chart, real-time price, current spike level from all-time lows, cycle highs, VIX term structure, and a full suite of built-in analysis tools.

Each tracker is purpose-built for its specific product. The chart updates in real time during market hours, and every data panel reflects the full price history of that ticker going back to inception. Spike levels, decay metrics, and forward return analytics are all calculated from actual historical data.

Built-in tools include the Spike Analyzer, Spike Probability Ladder, ETF Decay Projection, Expected Spike Table, Time to ATL, and Seasonality — all pre-loaded with the current ticker's data so you never have to switch between pages. Every analysis tool on the tracker is the same tool available standalone, just embedded directly into the chart page for faster access.

Dedicated trackers are available for UVXY, UVIX, VXX, SQQQ, SPXU, SOXS, and ZSL — with more tickers being added as the platform evolves.

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Spike Analyzer

Enter any spike percentage and instantly pull up every historical instance where a ticker rallied that much above its running all-time low. Each spike is tracked as an episode — from the moment it crosses the threshold to the moment a new ATL is set — giving you a complete picture of how similar moves resolved in the past.

The tool reports average and median days to a new all-time low, showing how quickly each spike level typically fades. Optionally enter a number of forward days to see return distributions, win rates, and the most extreme outcomes over that holding period.

Every result is computed from the full price history going back to 2018, using intraday highs and lows for precision. You can switch between all seven tickers (UVXY, UVIX, VXX, SQQQ, SPXU, SOXS, ZSL) and compare how the same spike level plays out differently across products with different leverage and underlying exposures.

This is the tool to use when a spike is happening and you need context fast. Instead of guessing whether a move is likely to hold or fade, you get the actual historical track record for that exact magnitude — how often it held, how often it faded, and how long it took.

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ETF Decay Projection

Projects how much each leveraged and inverse ETF is expected to decay over a given number of trading days or by a specific target date. The projections are grounded in actual historical decay rates calculated from the full price history of each product.

The tool uses a multi-layer framework: spike-adjusted projections that account for whether the ticker recently experienced a volatility spike, ATL-based projections that factor in how far the current price sits from its all-time low, a combined projection integrating both signals, and a baseline projection using simple historical averages.

This layered approach matters because decay is not constant. A ticker sitting 200% above its ATL after a recent spike decays very differently than one grinding near all-time lows in a calm market. By conditioning on current market state, the projections reflect what actually tends to happen from similar starting points.

Use this when you need to estimate where a position might land over your holding period. Whether you're sizing a short volatility trade or projecting a decay target for an exit, this tool gives you a data-driven range of outcomes rather than a single guess.

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Spike Probability Ladder

Enter a "from" and "to" spike percentage above all-time low, and the tool calculates the historical probability that a ticker which reached the first level went on to reach the second level within the same episode — before making a new all-time low.

Each spike is tracked as an episode: it begins when the price crosses the "from" threshold and ends when a new ATL is set. If the price reaches the "to" level at any point during that episode, it counts as a hit. The tool reports the probability along with timing stats — average, median, shortest, and longest number of days to reach the target.

This is critical for understanding escalation risk. If UVXY has spiked 50% from its ATL, what are the odds it reaches 100%? The answer isn't a guess — it's computed from every historical episode where the ticker crossed that first level.

Traders use the Spike Ladder to set realistic profit targets on long volatility positions, assess the probability of further upside before fading a spike, and understand how quickly escalation typically happens when it does occur.

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Spike Backtester

Automatically finds the optimal spike entry and exit timing for every leveraged ETF. The tool brute-forces tens of thousands of spike percentage and hold-day combinations, then surfaces the best strategy per ticker — ranked by win rate, average return per trade, or lowest drawdown.

On load, the optimizer scans every entry spike from 20% to 500% paired with hold periods from 1 to 120 days, filtering out any combination that leads to liquidation. Toggle between ranking modes to find the strategy that matches your risk tolerance.

Every ticker row is expandable — click to reveal the full trade log with entry dates, exit dates, prices, max intra-trade drawdown, and P&L for each individual trade. Switch to Custom Backtest mode to manually set your own spike threshold, hold period, or target/stop exit and see detailed results across all tickers.

This eliminates the guesswork around spike-based strategies. Before committing capital, you can see exactly how every parameter combination performed historically — including the worst drawdowns and whether the strategy survives without liquidation.

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Seasonality

Displays historical monthly return patterns for each ticker in a color-coded heatmap and accompanying bar chart. Green months have historically delivered positive returns, red months negative — with color intensity reflecting the magnitude of the average move.

Toggle between median and average returns to see whether seasonal patterns are consistent or skewed by outliers. Median returns are more robust to one-off extreme events, while averages capture the full impact of those tail moves.

Seasonality patterns exist in volatility products for structural reasons — quarterly rebalancing, options expiration cycles, tax-loss selling, and summer liquidity dynamics all create recurring tendencies. This tool makes those patterns visible at a glance across every month and ticker.

Use this to understand whether your entry timing aligns with or fights historical seasonal headwinds. A short volatility position entered in a historically strong month for vol ETFs faces an uphill battle that a well-timed entry in a weak month avoids entirely.

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Sensitivity Map

Quantifies how UVXY, UVIX, and VXX historically respond to VIX point moves, stratified by the VIX level at the time of the move. The relationship between VIX and vol ETFs is not fixed — a 2-point VIX spike from 14 to 16 produces a very different ETF response than a 2-point spike from 30 to 32.

The tool displays a heatmap of historical beta estimates across VIX level bands, built from years of daily data. Each cell shows the median ETF return for a given magnitude of VIX move within a given VIX regime, revealing how sensitivity shifts as volatility rises and falls.

A custom lookup lets you enter any two VIX closing prices (a "from" and "to") and instantly see the estimated ETF move based on the historical relationship for that regime. This is useful for scenario planning — if VIX goes from 18 to 25, approximately how much would UVXY move?

Understanding regime-dependent sensitivity is essential for position sizing. The advertised leverage multiple (2x for UVXY/UVIX) is a rough guide, but actual daily moves can far exceed or fall short of that multiple depending on where VIX sits and how the futures curve is shaped.

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Spike Lifecycle

Tracks the full lifecycle of a leveraged ETF spike from its last all-time low to the present. The chart plots every candle since the ATL with zigzag-detected peaks and troughs overlaid, giving you a clear visual of where the current cycle stands relative to its high.

Pullback frequency cards summarize how many drawdowns of each magnitude have occurred so far in the current cycle. Hovering a card highlights the matching peak-to-trough regions directly on the chart, making it easy to see when and where each pullback happened.

A detailed pullback table lists every peak, trough, drawdown percentage, and recovery time back to ATH. Each row is interactive — hovering highlights that specific pullback on the chart with shaded bands and marker emphasis so you can study individual swings in context.

Supports toggling between UVXY, UVIX, VXX, SQQQ, SOXS, SPXU, and ZSL. The stats bar shows ATL price, cycle high, current price, drawdown from high, percentage above ATL, and days in cycle — everything you need to gauge where a spike stands in its lifecycle.

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Strategy Finder

Backtest trading strategies on any ticker with real market data. Choose from simple moving averages, golden crosses, RSI, MACD, and VIX-based signals. Every historical BUY and SELL signal plotted on the chart with a results dashboard showing wins, losses, average return per trade, max drawdown, and annualized performance vs Buy & Hold.

The results card shows wins, losses, average days per trade, average return per trade, max drawdown, and annualized return alongside Buy & Hold performance with a visual badge showing whether the strategy is beating or losing. A full signal table lists every trade with entry/exit dates, prices, days in trade, biggest drawdown, and cumulative return.

The Find Best Strategy button scans every strategy against the current ticker and surfaces the one with the highest annualized return. Supports any ticker available on Yahoo Finance — stocks, ETFs, leveraged products, inverse funds.

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Options Scanner

Scans live options chains on every tracked leveraged and inverse ETF with three strategy modes: Long Puts, Bear Call Spreads, and Debit Put Spreads. Each card shows the current price, all-time low, projected decay target, historical win rate, and the nearest expiration date.

Long Puts lists every put strike from the current price down to the projected ATL with real-time bid/ask, a "Buy Under" breakeven column, and color-coded profit projections so you can instantly see which puts are worth buying.

Bear Call Spreads brute-forces every call strike combination from 95% of the decay target upward, filtering for spreads where mid-price credit is at least 33% of the width. Sorted by return on risk.

Debit Put Spreads brute-forces every put strike combination from the current price down to the projected ATL, filtering for spreads where the debit is no more than 49% of the width. Sorted by return on risk.

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1-Day Outlook

A historical probability engine that predicts next-day market movement based on today's move. Enter any ticker, see today's return, and instantly get the statistical breakdown of what happened the next day on every similar historical move — green/red probability, average return, median return, highest and lowest outcomes.

Range mode finds all historical days where the ticker moved within a symmetric window around today's return. If SPX is down −1.5% today, it pulls every day SPX moved between −2% and −1% (with an adjustable window from 0.10% to 5%) and shows what happened the following day.

Custom mode lets you set any percentage threshold. Enter −3% and the tool finds every day the ticker dropped 3% or worse, then shows next-day outcomes. Works in both directions — positive thresholds find all days with gains at or above the level.

Results include a full distribution histogram of next-day returns, sample size, and color-coded probability cards. Works with any stock, ETF, or index — including leveraged and inverse products.

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Gap Fill Tool

Analyzes what happens after a stock gaps up or down at the open. Enter any ticker to see today's opening gap, then get a full statistical breakdown of how similar historical gaps played out — intraday behavior, gap fill timing, and return distributions.

The tool calculates today's gap as the percentage difference between today's open and yesterday's close, then finds every historical day with a gap of similar magnitude within an adjustable range window.

Intraday stats show what percentage of similar gaps closed green vs. red, whether the gap held or faded, and the average open-to-close return. Gap fill timing reveals how often the gap fills within the same day, one trading week, or 30 trading days, with a cumulative fill rate chart.

Includes a distribution histogram of open-to-close returns and supports VIX regime filtering to isolate behavior during different volatility environments.

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Vol ETF Comparison

A side-by-side comparison of UVXY, UVIX, and VXX across every dimension that matters for choosing between them: spike responsiveness, decay rates, median days to return to all-time low, and structural differences in leverage, underlying index, and issuer.

All three products track short-term VIX futures, but they behave differently in practice. UVXY and UVIX offer 2x leverage while VXX is 1x. UVXY and VXX track the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index while UVIX tracks a different methodology. These structural differences affect how each product responds to the same VIX move.

The tool compares spike magnitudes at equivalent thresholds, showing which product historically delivers the largest moves during volatility events and which decays fastest during calm periods. This tradeoff — bigger spikes vs. faster decay — is the core decision when selecting a vol ETF.

Use this when deciding which product to trade for a specific strategy. A short volatility strategy benefits from faster decay (favoring the 2x products), while a long volatility hedge might prefer slower decay even at the cost of smaller spike payoffs.

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Historic Outlier Finder

Enter any number of trading days and the tool finds the single largest rally and the single largest decline ever recorded for every ticker over that window. Results are computed using intraday highs and lows for maximum precision.

For each ticker, you see the exact magnitude of the most extreme up move and down move, the dates they occurred, and the starting and ending prices. This gives you the true outer boundaries of what these products have done historically over your chosen timeframe.

The value here is calibration. If you're holding a 5-day position in UVXY and want to know the worst-case scenario, this tool shows you the single worst 5-day drawdown in the product's entire history. That context is essential for position sizing and setting realistic stop levels.

It also surfaces moves you might not remember or expect. Many traders underestimate the magnitude of tail events in leveraged products — this tool makes those extremes concrete and undeniable, which is exactly the kind of information that should inform risk management.

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Weekday Patterns

Shows historical return patterns broken down by day of the week (Monday through Friday) for each ticker. The heatmap and bar chart reveal whether certain weekdays have consistently delivered stronger or weaker returns over the full data history.

Toggle between median and average returns to assess the robustness of any pattern. A weekday that shows a strong median but weak average may have a few extreme outlier days pulling the numbers — the tool makes this distinction easy to spot.

Weekday effects in volatility products are driven by real structural forces: Monday gaps from weekend risk repricing, Wednesday FOMC announcements, Thursday jobless claims, and Friday options expiration and portfolio rebalancing. These recurring events create measurable day-of-week biases.

This tool is most useful for fine-tuning entry and exit timing. If you already have a directional view, knowing which day of the week historically favors that direction can help you choose the best day to execute rather than trading blindly.

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Daily Patterns

Shows what percentage of trading days close green vs red, and how often daily moves exceed key thresholds from ±1% to ±50% across the full data history.

The summary chart shows the distribution of daily moves at each threshold level, making it easy to see how frequently extreme moves occur. The year-by-year heatmap reveals whether move frequencies are changing over time.

Add custom thresholds to test any specific level. This tool is useful for sizing positions and setting realistic expectations for daily price swings in volatile products.

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Sentiment Cheat Sheet

Instant bullish or bearish read on any stock. Enter a ticker and get a single overall signal — Strong Buy, Buy, Neutral, Sell, or Strong Sell — derived from 20 key technical indicators across short, medium, and long term timeframes.

Indicators are grouped into four categories: Volatility, Short Term, Medium Term, and Long Term. Each category shows its own consensus reading, and every individual indicator displays its current value, threshold, and whether it’s signaling bullish or bearish.

The overall verdict is calculated as a weighted percentage of bullish vs bearish signals, presented on a visual gauge that makes the current sentiment immediately obvious. Works on any ticker available through Yahoo Finance — stocks, ETFs, indices, and more.

Use this as a quick pre-trade sanity check or a starting point for deeper analysis. Instead of manually checking RSI, moving averages, MACD, Bollinger Bands, and other indicators one by one, get them all in a single glance with a clear directional consensus.

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Heatmap Creator

A single-view performance matrix showing returns across all tickers and timeframes — 1-day, 1-week, 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, YTD, and 1-year — in one color-coded grid. Green cells mean up, red means down, and darker colors indicate larger moves.

The power of this tool is simultaneous comparison. Instead of checking each ticker individually, you see the entire volatility and inverse ETF universe at once, making it immediately obvious which products are outperforming or underperforming across every timeframe.

Cross-timeframe analysis reveals regime information that single-timeframe views miss. A ticker that is red on the 1-day but green on the 1-week and 1-month is in a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend — a very different situation than one that is red across all timeframes.

Use this as a daily starting point to quickly assess the state of the volatility universe. It answers the question "what's moving and how much?" in a single glance, saving you from cycling through multiple charts and data sources.

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VIX Term Structure

A free, full-screen live VIX chart with real-time price updates during market hours, plus integrated futures term structure data showing all monthly VX contracts along the maturity curve.

The term structure visualization makes it immediately clear whether the market is in contango (futures trading above spot, indicating expected mean reversion and active roll decay) or backwardation (futures below spot, signaling acute near-term fear and reduced or reversed decay).

The chart also displays the interpolated VX30 level and the contango/backwardation spread as a percentage, giving you the key numbers that drive daily roll yield for products like UVXY and VXX without needing a separate futures data subscription.

Use this for real-time market monitoring. The shape of the VIX futures curve is one of the most important inputs for any volatility strategy — it determines whether roll decay is working for you or against you, and how aggressively the market is pricing near-term risk relative to longer-term expectations.

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