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VOL Radar

See What Others Miss. Before It Moves.

A real-time anomaly detection engine that scans the full price history of every volatility ETF and surfaces the signals that matter today — opening gaps, cross-asset divergences, overdue spikes, VIX structure shifts, and more.

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Vol Radar
All VIX UVXY UVIX VXX SQQQ SOXS SPXU ZSL BOIL
UVXY Opened +6.1% Gap Up: Opened +6.1% above yesterday's close. Historically on days opening ≥+6%, it closed lower than the open 68% of the time. Mar 12
VIX VIX / SPX Divergence: SPX dropped -1.2% but VIX also closed red (-3.4%). Historically, SPX was green the next day 61% of the time. Mar 12
UVXY Unusually Long Time Since ATL: Has gone 39d without a new ATL (86th percentile). Median gap between ATLs is 10d. Mar 12
SOXS 5-Day Winning Streak: Closed green 5 days in a row. Historically, streaks of ≥5d ended with a red day 72% of the time. Mar 12
UVIX Hit 180d Spike Level: Hit its 180d Spike Level of +82.6%. Historically, it went on to reach +106.1% (1Y level) 3 out of 5 times. Mar 11
SPXU VIX / ETF Divergence: VIX closed -2.8% but SPXU closed +4.1%. Historically after ≥2% divergences, SPXU was red the next day 58% of the time. Mar 11
VIX VX1 Above VX2: Front-month VIX futures (VX1: 26.42) crossed above second-month (VX2: 24.90). The front end of the curve is in backwardation. Mar 10
+ more alerts generated daily as conditions change

How It Works

Vol Radar runs continuously so you don't have to. Multiple layers of analysis, zero manual effort.

1

Full history, loaded instantly

The moment you open the dashboard, Vol Radar fetches full daily candle data for every tracked ticker and builds a running all-time-low model. Every spike cycle, every ATL reset, every frequency window — computed in seconds.

2

Statistical anomalies are detected automatically

The engine compares today's conditions against historical baselines using percentile ranks, frequency ratios, cross-asset divergences, and episode-based analysis. An alert only fires when a metric is statistically significant — no noise, only signals backed by data.

3

Alerts arrive with full historical context

Every alert includes the data behind it — how many times this has happened before, what the historical outcome was, and what the odds are of the next move. You see the signal and the evidence in one glance.

Signals in Action

Vol Radar runs a growing library of detector types across every tracked ticker. Here are some of the signals it surfaces automatically.

Decay Signal

Unusually Long Time Since ATL

Measures the gap since the last all-time low and fires when it exceeds the 80th percentile of historical ATL gaps. Tells you the floor hasn't dropped in an unusually long time — a potential setup for both spike traders and decay watchers.

Frequency Signal

Unusually Long Time Since Last Spike

Uses five rolling frequency windows (30d to 1.5Y) to identify when a spike at a historically common level is overdue. If a +25% spike typically happens every 90 days and it's been 200 days, you'll know.

Momentum Signal

Spike Level Hit

Fires when the current spike crosses a key frequency threshold (30d, 90d, 180d, 1Y, or 1.5Y level). Includes historical continuation rates — how often hitting one level led to the next.

Acceleration Signal

Decay Accelerating

Detects when recent ATL frequency (past 20 days) is running at 2x or more the historical average. The floor is dropping faster than normal — spike levels reset more aggressively.

Pullback Signal

Down X% From Spike

Tracks pullbacks of 10%, 20%, and 50% from cycle peak spikes. Includes historical recovery rates — how often similar pullbacks led to higher spikes before a new ATL.

Reset Signal

New All-Time Low Just Set

Fires the day a ticker breaks below its previous all-time low. All spike calculations reset from the new baseline — every percentage level recalibrates to a lower floor.

VIX Level Signal

VIX Crossed Key Threshold

Monitors VIX spot against levels at 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, and 80. When a level is crossed, you see how many times it happened before and the historical odds of reaching the next level.

Structure Signal

VIX Futures Curve Shifts

Detects VX1 above VX2 (backwardation) and VX1 above spot VIX (futures premium). Term structure reveals what the market is pricing in that spot VIX doesn't show.

Gap Signal

Opening Gap Up / Down

Fires when a ticker opens with a significant gap (≥2%) above or below yesterday's close. Backtests every historical instance at the same threshold to show how often the gap held vs. faded and the average open-to-close return.

Streak Signal

Consecutive Day Streaks

Detects winning or losing streaks of 3+ consecutive days. Includes historical reversal rates — how often a streak of that length ended with a reversal vs. continued for another day.

Divergence Signal

Cross-Asset Divergences

Monitors three divergence patterns: VIX red while leveraged ETFs are green, SPX green while vol ETFs are also green, and SPX dropping while VIX falls too. Each includes next-day historical outcomes.

Intraday Signal

Intraday Extremes

Captures unusually large intraday drops and dip-recovery patterns (drops ≥5% intraday but closes green). Shows how often similar intraday action led to follow-through or reversal the next day.

The Market Moves Fast.
Your Edge Should Move Faster.

Vol Radar is included free with every CI Volatility membership — along with spike analyzers, decay projections, probability ladders, and 11 purpose-built tools.

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