From the
Desk
Research, analysis, and commentary from the CI Volatility team.
May 4, 2026
Musk Versus Altman: What a Win for Either Side Would Mean
Musk vs Altman is in trial in Oakland. A Musk win could unwind OpenAI’s for-profit arm and shake Microsoft’s $10B+ stake. An Altman win clears the runway for an OpenAI IPO.
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May 3, 2026
The End of Spirit Airlines
Spirit Airlines is winding down after 34 years. A failed bailout, a fuel shock from the Iran conflict, and a model that finally ran out of room ended the yellow planes for good.
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May 2, 2026
How High Could the VIX Climb if Oil Hits $200 in a Prolonged Iran War
The VIX sits under 20 in early May 2026, but a prolonged US-Iran war that pushes crude toward $200 a barrel could send volatility back to crisis-era levels.
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April 30, 2026
Is Alphabet Just a Glorified Venture Capital Firm Now?
Alphabet’s Q1 2026 net income hit $62.6B, but more than half came from unrealized gains on SpaceX and Anthropic. The world’s biggest ad company is starting to look a lot like a VC.
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April 15, 2026
Allbirds' Bizarre Silly Shoe to AI Pivot Sends $BIRD Soaring as Much as 876%
Allbirds ditches sneakers for GPUs, rebranding as NewBird AI and igniting a retail frenzy that sent $BIRD up as much as 876% intraday.
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April 14, 2026
The Death of the $25k Rule
SEC officially approves major overhaul of day trading regulations, ending the Pattern Day Trader rule.
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April 13, 2026
Anthropic Prepares for Release of Claude Opus 4.7
Fresh assault on already-battered software stocks as Anthropic prepares to unveil Opus 4.7 and a new AI-powered design tool.
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April 11, 2026
Anthropic Says Their New AI Is Too Dangerous for Public Use
Anthropic's decision to withhold its latest frontier model underscores the growing systemic risk that advanced AI poses to financial infrastructure.
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February 26, 2026
Warren Buffett’s Last Investment Was a Shocker
In his final months as CEO, Buffett’s only new stock purchase was a newspaper.
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February 25, 2026
CRISPR Therapeutics Was Supposed to Change Medicine Forever. Then AI Showed Up
If you bought CRISPR Therapeutics stock in 2021, you were told you were buying the future of medicine.
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February 22, 2026
Puerto Vallarta Unrest: Why the Broader Stock Market Will Remain Unaffected
The events in Puerto Vallarta following the reported killing of El Mencho.
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February 20, 2026
The Supreme Court Just Struck Down Trump’s Emergency Tariffs. Here’s What It Means.
The Court ruled that the president cannot use a 1977 emergency powers law to impose sweeping tariffs.
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February 17, 2026
Polymarket’s Insider Trading Problem Is Getting Worse and Nobody Cares
From Super Bowl halftime bets to Venezuela and Israel, Polymarket has become one of the easiest ways to profit from insider information.
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February 16, 2026
When Pepsi Is Crushing Microsoft, the Economy Should Be Worried
The companies that sell you toothpaste and frozen chicken are dramatically outperforming the companies building the future.
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February 14, 2026
What You Need to Know About Ray Dalio’s 7,000 Word Warning
Ray Dalio published a sweeping essay on the state of global economics. Here are the key takeaways.
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February 13, 2026
The Last Company to Issue a 100-Year Bond Was Motorola. It Didn’t End Well
Google’s parent company just did something that even most governments won’t do.
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January 11, 2026
Social Media Erupts Over Credit Card Interest Rate Cap
Trump wants to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. Bill Ackman pushed back and got buried.
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January 10, 2026
The Insider Trading Epidemic of 2025
From AMD-OpenAI to Grindr, 2025 saw a flood of perfectly-timed options sweeps and pre-news flows.
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January 9, 2026
Testing the Japanese Overnight Reversal Theory
Two Japanese finance professors published a paper claiming overnight returns predict next-day reversals.
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January 7, 2026
How High Would the VIX Spike if the US Invaded Greenland?
If a U.S. move on Greenland triggered Article 5 in reverse, how far could the VIX actually spike?
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January 6, 2026
Why Tim Cook Just Dropped $3 Million on Nike Stock (Instead of Apple)
Nike has endured a painful multiyear drawdown that remains hard to fathom for such an iconic brand.
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January 5, 2026
What Would Happen to the World If We Capped Personal Wealth at $1 Billion?
Zohran Mamdani’s mayoral win revives a provocative thought experiment: what if society capped personal wealth at $1 billion?
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January 3, 2026
How High Would the VIX Spike if China Invaded Taiwan?
A Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be a bigger shock than Ukraine. Here’s why the VIX could reach 60–80+.
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January 3, 2026
How to Position Your Portfolio for a Midterm Election Year
Markets despise uncertainty. And midterm elections inject plenty of it into the financial system.
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December 31, 2025
Today is Buffett’s Last Day
At age 95, Warren Buffett steps down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway after 60 years.
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December 10, 2025
The Most Powerful Confession in Investing History
Stanley Druckenmiller lost $3 billion in the dot-com bubble and delivered one of the most powerful quotes in investing history.
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December 6, 2025
Michael Burry Just Quit with a $9.2 Million Goodbye Trade
The man who famously called the 2008 financial crisis just shut down his hedge fund.
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November 28, 2025
Meta: “We’d Rather Go Bankrupt Than Miss AI”
Mike Green dropped a blunt assessment of Meta Platforms and its fight for survival in the AI race.
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October 3, 2025
Natural Gas Is the Widow Maker
Traders call natural gas the “widow maker” because of how often it destroys well-reasoned strategies. Here’s how NG earned its fearsome reputation.
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September 20, 2025
Investors Keep Losing Money Because Economists Keep Predicting Market Crashes That Never Happen
Economists have a terrible track record predicting recessions, yet investors keep bleeding money on crash bets that never pay off.
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