New Tool Launch
January 2, 2026

How Often Does Your Ticker Actually Have a Green Day? The Answer Is Sobering

We just launched the Daily Patterns tool. Green vs red day ratios, move threshold analysis, and year-by-year breakdowns for every ticker.

Here's a question most leveraged ETF traders can't answer: what percentage of trading days is your ticker actually green? Not roughly. Not "about half." The exact number.

For most leveraged and inverse products, the answer is worse than you think. UVXY, for example, closes red on more days than it closes green. The same is true for most decay-heavy products. But the exact ratios vary meaningfully between tickers, and the year-by-year trends reveal even more.

Until now, getting this data meant downloading the full price history and counting green vs red days yourself. Then repeating the process for every threshold you care about: how often does it move more than 1%? More than 3%? More than 5%?

We built something better.

Introducing the Daily Patterns Tool

The Daily Patterns tool gives you the complete picture of daily price behavior for any ticker. At a glance, see the percentage of green days vs red days, how often the price moves beyond a threshold you set, and how these patterns have shifted year by year.

Select VIX and you see that it closes green 45% of the time and red 55%. Set the threshold to 1% and you see that 38% of days move up more than 1% while 47% move down more than 1%. The year-by-year chart shows whether this ratio is stable or shifting.

No more assumptions about daily behavior. Just the data.

What the Tool Shows You

Complete daily return analysis for every ticker in the suite.

Core

Green vs Red Day Ratio

The exact percentage and count of days that closed positive vs negative. Simple but revealing, especially for products with a structural decay bias.

Threshold

Move Size Analysis

Set a daily move threshold (1%, 2%, 5%, etc.) and see how often the ticker moves beyond that level in either direction. Adjustable up or down.

Trends

Year-by-Year Chart

A bar chart showing the percentage of days exceeding your threshold for each calendar year. See whether the pattern is stable, improving, or deteriorating.

Coverage

8 Built-in Tickers + Custom

VIX, UVXY, UVIX, VXX, SQQQ, SPXU, SOXS, ZSL built in, plus a custom ticker option for any symbol you want to analyze.

Adjustable

Custom Thresholds

Change the daily move threshold with increment buttons. Go from 1% to 5% to 10% and watch the ratios shift. Find the threshold that matters for your strategy.

Context

Sample Size Shown

Every ratio shows the exact count alongside the percentage. Know whether you're looking at 2,500 trading days or 500.

How It Works

The tool calculates the daily return for every trading day in each ticker's history. It then counts how many days were positive (green) vs negative (red), and separately counts how many exceeded your chosen threshold in either direction.

The tool gives you:

This is the tool you want when you need to understand the base rate of daily moves for any product. If your strategy requires a 2% daily move to trigger, you need to know how often that actually happens.

How Traders Are Using It

Five ways members are already applying the Daily Patterns tool to their process.

1

Expectation setting

Before trading any product, check its base rate of green vs red days. Know what you're signing up for.

2

Threshold calibration

If your strategy triggers on a 3% daily move, check how often that actually happens for your ticker. Calibrate your expectations.

3

Product comparison

Compare green/red ratios across tickers to find which products have the most favorable daily return profiles for your approach.

4

Regime detection

Use the year-by-year chart to spot shifts in daily behavior. A product that was 50/50 green/red in 2023 might be 40/60 in 2025.

5

Risk framing

Know the frequency of large daily moves before sizing positions. If 5% days happen 15% of the time, your risk model needs to account for it.

The Tool Is Live Now

The Daily Patterns tool is available in your dashboard under Premium Tools. If you're a CI Volatility member, you already have access.

Open the Daily Patterns Tool

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